Kelly criterion for bug hunting?
A half-formed hunch: allocating research time across targets is a bankroll problem, and Kelly might be the right lens.
welcome, wanderer
Thoughts here are in permanent beta. Human certified.
Each star is a note; each line, an idea that found another. Follow a thread, or wander somewhere unexpected.
recently watered
An openings trainer for a vibe-based brain
Queen's Gambit got me playing, ADHD got me playing bullet, and bullet taught me to move on vibes. I'm 1700 rapid, 1500 blitz, and stuck. So I'm building a web app to drill chess openings the way I'd drill anything else: turn the lookup into a reflex.
Quant isn't prediction, it's edge and survival
Two ideas hold up the whole field, and neither is a crystal ball: a tiny statistical edge run thousands of times, and not blowing up before it pays. The model I'm using so I stop treating the market like a fortune to be told.
the commonplace
A quieter kind of feed. Endless to scroll, but built to leave you wiser instead of emptier: curated passages, mental models, and lessons from the great thinkers, each paired with a question worth sitting with. No likes, no outrage, no metrics that measure you. Only what you gather.
“You have power over your mind, not outside events.”
the beds
- Offensive Security
How things break: exploitation, red teaming, and the attacker's craft, across systems, the cloud, and AI.
- AI
How the models actually work, what they can and can't do, and learning to build with them.
- Cryptography
Codes, keys, and keeping secrets: RSA today, the post-quantum scramble tomorrow.
- Systems Thinking
Feedback loops, incentives, and why complex systems fail sideways.
- Quant Curiosity
Probability, betting, and markets as adversarial systems.
- Games and Puzzles
Play taken seriously: strategy, riddles, and the hidden math that makes them tick.
- Philosophy
How to think, what's real, and what we owe each other: first principles, ethics, and the unexamined life.
- Life
Living it, not just analyzing it: habits, choices, and figuring things out as you go.
- Psychology
Why we do what we do: biases, motivation, and the wiring behind everyday behavior.
- Meta / Garden
Notes about learning, this site itself, and how the garden is tended.
- Random
The junk drawer: odds, ends, and half-formed sparks that don't fit a neat plot yet.
the living map
guided trails
Not sure where to start? A trail is a hand-picked walk through connected notes, and each stop explains why the next one matters.
how things grow here
Seed. A captured spark. Unverified, unpolished, possibly wrong.
Sprout. Taking shape. Has structure and at least one real source or experiment.
Growing. Actively tended. Revisited often, links forming to other notes.
Blooming. Useful to others as-is. Tested ideas, working code, real findings.
Evergreen. Settled and durable. Revised rarely, referenced constantly.