Kelly criterion for bug hunting?
A half-formed hunch: allocating research time across targets is a bankroll problem, and Kelly might be the right lens.
Quant Curiosity
Probability, betting, and markets as adversarial systems.
Quant isn't prediction, it's edge and survival
Two ideas hold up the whole field, and neither is a crystal ball: a tiny statistical edge run thousands of times, and not blowing up before it pays. The model I'm using so I stop treating the market like a fortune to be told.
Quant trading from zero, ADHD edition
My brain wants quant to be a slot machine, which is the exact wrong instinct. So before any math: bury the get-rich fantasy, trade paper money only, and treat the whole thing as probability and risk instead of fortune-telling.
The Birthday Ambush: Why 23 Strangers Hide a Secret Match
In a room of just 23 people, it's better than even odds that two share a birthday. The Birthday Paradox, and why your brain is hopeless at counting pairs.
The Invisible Scoreboard: How Do You Win at Being a Person?
Imagine an invisible scoreboard over your head: buy a friend a mango, +5; be cruel, −50. The catch is nobody handed you the rulebook. A tour of ethics: consequentialism, deontology, virtue ethics, and moral luck.
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